Beibars BATYRKHANOV
Michail SERGEEV
ALMATY, Sept 10
(THE GLOBE)
�At the eve of the Parliamentary election painters of the movement �Kokserek� and �Flash Art School� initiate the art-political project �Sparring�, the curator of the project announced on Friday in Almaty.
According to Kanat Ibragimov, the objective of this event is �to attract the population and to raise the degree of the pre-election public life.�
In his opinion, the present time, the most important thing is to avoid inertia and indifference of the elector before the period significant for the country�s fate.
The organisers of the event told to THE GLOBE that invitations to take part in the project �Sparring� had been sent to all parties, public figures and statesmen.
The event will be organised in the form of debates, in which any politician participating in the election will be able to carry on dialogues and debates with electors.
�Sparring� will be held from September 14 to October 3 in the Kasteev�s museum. The schedule of the political sparring had been prepared, the Kanat Ibragimov said. �Now everything depends on politicians.�
The democratic party �Azamat� represented by the co-chairman of the party Pyotr Svoik who was present at the press conference, agreed to take part in the first debates.
�The project is very interesting. Though, it seems to me, that many parties and candidates will just prefer not to take part in this event,� Pyotr Svoik remarked.
At the same time he expressed his hope that the project would be realised.
The co-chairman of �Azamat� evaluates his chances in the coming elections as high.
�I see the only real danger for me. This is falsification of the results of calculated votes,� Mr. Svoik emphasised.
Pyotr Svoik believes that in Al-Farabi district, where he is nominated, this danger is presented by a self-nominated candidate Isakhan Alimzhanov.
According to the co-chairman of the party, namely in favour of this candidate, the election results will be falsified. The regional election commission permits his luxurious pre-election campaign, which seems not to comply with the law.
Bakhytzhamal Bekturganova, President of ASaP
Almaty, Sept 10
1-10 of September 1999
589 persons polled
Second week of September:
Prevailing opinion
� In the second week of September �Azamat� party headed the rating list of parties and movements.
� In the last week Kazhegeldin was first among five first leaders. Possibly, it was the response reaction of the Almaty population to the criminal case laid against him.
� Almaty citizens considered A. Kazhegeldin to be the first man having political will and able to think in state scales. I. Savostina was considered to be the most honest and reliable, and the most sincere in her desire to help people. S. Tereschenko was thought to be the most hypocritical. Amantai Asylbek was considered the most foolish one.
Analysis of the poll results
In the second week of September the protest electorate was obvious. Hence, the places in the rating list were distributed in favour of the opposition�s parties and movements.
Ratings of parties and movements
|
Name |
Total |
Men |
Women |
|
1. �Azamat� party |
11,7 |
||
|
3. Political alliance of women�s organisations |
10,8 |
8,3 |
14,2 |
|
4-5. Communist Party |
10,7 |
13,8 |
6,5 |
|
4-5. Republican People�s Party |
10,7 |
10,2 |
11,4 |
|
6. Public movement �Orleu� |
10,4 |
13,3 |
6,5 |
|
7. Public movement �Lad� |
5,2 |
6,3 |
3,7 |
|
8. Civil Party |
4 |
2,7 |
5,8 |
|
9. �Otan� party |
3,8 |
3,3 |
4,5 |
|
10. Party of Kazakhstan�s rebirth |
2,1 |
1,7 |
2,6 |
|
11-12. Agricultural party |
1,3 |
1,4 |
1,1 |
|
11-12. Anti-nucleus movement �Attan� |
1,3 |
1,7 |
0,6 |
|
13-14. Labour Party |
0,5 |
0,9 |
0,0 |
|
13-14. Working movement |
0,5 |
0,9 |
0,0 |
|
15. �Alash� party |
0,2 |
0,3 |
0,0 |
|
16. �Azat� party |
0,0 |
0,0 |
0,0 |
|
17. None of the above-mentioned |
4,4 |
3,4 |
5,8 |
|
18. I have not decided yet |
11,4 |
8,1 |
15,9 |
In the last week the following parties and movements were the most favourite ones: �Azamat� party, �Pokolenye�, Women�s political party, CPK and RPPK.
The first three structures are not the opposition ones. The authority of �Pokolenye� movement is commonly accepted in the southern capital. The Women�s Political Party got a high rating in advance. Its electoral �sponsor� is mainly women. As far as �Azamat� party is concerned, the situation is not quite clear. On one hand, the triumvirate of �Azamat� neglects the authorities� moral right to govern the country; on the other hand, it stipulates the readiness to co-operate with the authorities. Leaders of �Azamat� are obviously clever, and pathos of their appeals to pensioners has some civic elements. But what is the true price of these civic things? This is still an open question.
Has it anything in common with populist technology of the election campaign or is there anything more significant, anything outside the world of policy and financial means?
The fourth and fifth positions were distributed between CPK and RPPK. These parties have both different start and different fates.
For the total poll period, beginning from the presidential election, the rating of CPK has been steadily growing. This party firmly takes the top positions among the first five leaders of parties and movements.
RPPK�s rating is difficult. Before the break off this party took lower positions in the rating list. After Lira Baisetova�s scandal secession from the party, the rating of RPPK raised up to the first position. What new somersault will RPPK do after the scandal announcement by V. Voronov? If after this the rating of RPPK return to the first position, it will be possible to say with a high degree of confidence that scandal is the best advertisement for RPPK.
If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?
(candidates� ratings)
|
Names |
Total |
Men |
Women |
|
1. �. Kazhegeldin |
14,1 |
16,3 |
11,7 |
|
2. S. Abdildin |
12,3 |
16,3 |
7,7 |
|
3. S. Kuttykadam |
11,4 |
13,1 |
9,5 |
|
4. G. Kasymov |
7,9 |
7,5 |
8,3 |
|
5. P. Svoik |
7,0 |
8,5 |
5,2 |
|
6. S. Tereschenko |
3,6 |
4,0 |
3,1 |
|
7. M. Auezov |
3,3 |
1,6 |
5,2 |
|
8. M. Ospanov |
4,1 |
2,4 |
6,2 |
|
9. B. Tursumbaev |
2 |
1,9 |
2,2 |
|
10. R. Sarsenbaeva |
1,3 |
1,6 |
0,9 |
|
11. G. Abilsiitov |
0,6 |
11 |
0,0 |
|
12. None of the above-mentioned |
11,7 |
8,3 |
15,7 |
|
13. It�s difficult to answer |
20,7 |
17,6 |
24,3 |
A. Kazhegeldin, the leader of RPPK headed the rating list of candidates, despite he will not be nominated to the Parliament. What does this prove? This proves the protest moods in the environment of the polled electorate.
This is an interesting situation. Today the name of A. Kazhegeldin is not associated with a concrete person, the ex-Prime Minister who has become a person non grata in our country. He symbolises an alternative to the present authorities and everything connected with them: possibility to live better, to breathe freer, and to believe in tomorrow.
The public opinion imparts A. Kazhegeldin with those properties (political will, and ability to think in the state scales), which, possible, he as a man and a politician does not have.
Due to the authorities� care the man is being granting his mythology. People will forget his face, but the myth about the man who rose against the powerful Olympus, will remain. There are all premises for this, and the main one is the present authorities, suffering from a chronic deficit of growth hormones. Not only unfriendly electors consider the authorities not growing, but also by their supporters.
Whatever leaders of parties and movements think about themselves, the Almaty electorate has its own opinion regarding each of them. They have to take this into consideration, as this is the electorate�s opinion.
The polled citizens consider generosity auctions held by �Otan� party and Civil Party as insignificant, as leaders of these parties hypocritically hide their striving for personal profit.
Amantai Asylbek, Zh. Bazilbaev and A. Dzhaganova are just foolishness presented as political announcement.
Most Almaty citizens consider A. Kazhegeldin and S. Abdildin to have political will. S. Kuttykadam, P. Svoik and I. Savosita have less political will.
It occurred that there are a few leaders of parties and movements who seem to be honest and decent. The respondents believe I. Savostina, P. Svoik, S. Kuttykadam and M. Auezov are these leaders.
For the time being, I. Savostina is the only person who has managed to persuade the common people in her sincere desire to help them. The rest nominees to the electorate�s trust (P. Svoik, S. Abdildin and S. Kuttykadam) have the highest chances.
The authorities� lack of people who are able to think in a state way leads to a trouble for the common people. This deficit is also sharp in the circle of the public figures. According to the respondents� answers, A. Kazhegeldin, S. Abdildin and P. Svoik are deficit people.
G. Aldamzharov is still poorly noticed among other leaders of parties and movements, who arouse some emotions of the Almaty population. In fact, the respondents do not react to his name at all. From poll to poll, this man accumulates a low specific weight of answers.
O. Suleimenov is a peculiar thing. Only few Almaty citizens could appreciate his features. But even these people have different opinions. Some respondents consider Suleimenov an honest and decent man, other believe he is a hypocrite.
The respondents� answers are distributed in an interesting way. The opposition�s leaders are mainly considered positively, while leaders of parties loyal to the President are perceived negatively. Asylbekov and Bazilbaev are neither this nor that. This is especial category of people.
G. Aldamzharov is a different thing. I am still surprised, why the Almaty population has not discovered this person?
What features are characteristic for leaders of the following parties and movements?
(% in the column)
Political Honesty Sincere wish Ability to think Striving for personal Foolishness,
will and decency to help people in a state way profit, which is presented in
hypocritically presented political
as care of people announcements
S. Tereschenko
(�Otan�) 8,7 1,4 0,8 11 15,2 6,5
A. Kazhegeldin
(RPPK) 23,9 6,5 2,6 23,5 11,1 2,7
G. Aldamzharov
Zh. Bazilbaev (�Alash�) 1,5 0,1 0,8 1,2 8,2 22,4
I. Savostina
(�Pokolenye�) 10,3 22,9 31,3 6,0 2,3 1,6
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